Accepted articles

Methodological notes


On weather extremes caused by climate warming


Department of Physics and Astronomy, California State University Northridge, 18111 Nordhoff Str., Northridge, CA, 91330, USA

The influence of climate warming on the increase extreme weather events is investigated in a simple statistical model and using the longest known record of the Central England temperature for 1659—2021. It has been found that the shift of the mean monthly temperature due to climate warming has a significant influence on the probability of seeing extreme temperatures. Thus, the probability of seeing high temperatures at present time relative to 17th century in the record of temperature increases by approximately a factor of five. An average temperature in 20th century is greater or equal to the maximum temperature in 1659—1719 at each month. In 1961—2021 the probability of a temperature is 5.2 times larger than the probability of seeing the temperature greater or equal to the maximum temperature in 1659—1719.

Keywords: climate warming, extreme events, the longest temperature record
DOI: 10.3367/UFNe.2026.07.040168
Citation: Ruzmaikin A A "On weather extremes caused by climate warming" Phys. Usp., accepted

Received: 13th, February 2026, revised: 19th, May 2026, 25th, July 2026

Оригинал: Рузмайкин А А «O влиянии глобального потепления на экстремальные погодные условия» УФН, принята к публикации; DOI: 10.3367/UFNr.2026.07.040168

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