Issues

 / 

2010

 / 

December

  

Interdisciplinary physics


On the theory of global population growth

 a, b
a Institute of Socio-Economic Studies of Population, Russian Academy of Sciences, Nakhimovskii prosp. 32, Moscow, 117218, Russian Federation
b P.L. Kapitza Institute for Physical Problems, Russian Academy of Sciences, ul. Kosygina 2, Moscow, 117334, Russian Federation

Ours is an epoch of global demographic revolution, a time of a rapid transition from explosive population growth to a low reproduction level. This, possibly the most momentous change ever witnessed by humankind has, first and foremost, important implications for the dynamics of population. But it also affects billions of people in all aspects of their lives, and it is for this reason that demographic processes have grown into a vast problem, both globally and in Russia. Their fundamental understanding will to a large extent impact the present, the short-term future following the current critical epoch, the stable and uniform global development and its priorities, and indeed global security. Quantitative treatment of historical processes is reached using the phenomenological theory of mankind’s population growth. This theory relies on the concepts and methods of physics and its conclusions should take into account the ideas of economics and genetics.

Fulltext pdf (181 KB)
Fulltext is also available at DOI: 10.3367/UFNe.0180.201012g.1337
PACS: 01.75.+m, 89.65.Cd (all)
DOI: 10.3367/UFNe.0180.201012g.1337
URL: https://ufn.ru/en/articles/2010/12/f/
000288495700006
2-s2.0-79955626810
Citation: Kapitza S P "On the theory of global population growth" Phys. Usp. 53 1287–1296 (2010)
BibTexBibNote ® (generic)BibNote ® (RIS)MedlineRefWorks

Оригинал: Капица С П «К теории роста населения Земли» УФН 180 1337–1346 (2010); DOI: 10.3367/UFNr.0180.201012g.1337

References (22) ↓ Cited by (22) Similar articles (9)

  1. Kapitsa S P "Fenomenologicheskaya teoriya rosta naseleniya Zemli" Usp. Fiz. Nauk 166 63 (1996); Kapitsa S P "The phenomenological theory of world population growth" Phys. Usp. 39 57 (1996)
  2. Kapitsa S P Obshchaya Teoriya Rosta Chelovechestva: skol’ko Lyudei Zhilo, Zhivet i Budet Zhit’ na Zemle (M.: Nauka, 1999); sm. takzhe, Kapitsa S P Skol’ko Lyudei Zhilo, Zhivet i Budet Zhit’ na Zemle. Ocherk Teorii Rosta Chelovechestva (M.: Mezhdunarodnaya programma obrazovaniya, 1999)
  3. Kapitsa S P Paradoksy Rosta. Zakony Razvitiya Chelovechestva (M.: Al’pina non-fikshn, 2009)
  4. Kapitza S P Global Population Blow-Up And After. The Demographic Revolution And Information Society (A Report To The Club Of Rome And The Global Marshall Plan Initiative) (Hamburg: Tolleranza, 2006); Kapitza S P Global Population Blow-Up And After. The Demographic Revolution And Information Society (A Report To The Club Of Rome And The Global Marshall Plan Initiative) (Moscow, 2007)
  5. Shklovskii I S Vselennaya, Zhizn’, Razum Dop. 6-e izd. (M.: Nauka, 1987); Shklovskii I S Intelligent Life In The Universe (San Francisco: Holden-Day, 1966)
  6. Prigogine I, Stengers I Order Out Of Chaos: Man’s New Dialogue With Nature (Boulder, CO: New Science Library, 1997); Prigozhin I, Stengers I Vremya, Khaos, Kvant. K Resheniyu Paradoksa Vremeni 5-e izd. (M.: URSS, 2003)
  7. Camarskii A A, Galaktionov V A, Kurdyumov S P, Mikhailov A P Rezhimy s Obostreniem v Zadachakh dlya Kvazilineinykh Parabolicheskikh Uravnenii (M.: Nauka, 1987); Samarskii A A, Galaktionov V A, Kurdyumov S P, Mikhailov A P Blow-Up In Quasilinear Parabolic Equations (Berlin: De Gruyter, 1995)
  8. Malinetskii G G (Red.), Kurdyumov V S (Sost.) Rezhimy s Obostreniem. Evolyutsiya Idei (M.: Fizmatlit, 2006)
  9. Haub C (2003) http://www.prb.org/, Population Reference Bureau, Washington, D.C.
  10. Chesnais J-C The Demographic Transition. Stages, Patterns, And Economic Implications (Oxford: Clarendon Press, 1992)
  11. Savel’eva I M, Poletaev A V Istoriya i Vremya: v Poiskakh Utrachennogo (M.: Yazyki russkoi kul’tury, 1997)
  12. Cohen J E How Many People Can The Earth Support? (New York: Norton, 1995)
  13. Braudel F On History (Chicago: Univ. of Chicago Press, 1980)
  14. Myasnikov V S . "Rossiiskii anti-Mal’tus" Vestnik RAN (7) 646 (2000); Myasnikov V S "A Russian anti-Malthus" Herald Russ. Acad. Sci. 70 407 (2000)
  15. Meadows D H et al. The Limits To Growth (New York: Universe Books, 1972)
  16. May R "The dimensions of life on Earth" Nature And Human Society. The Quest For A Sustainable World (Report of US National Academy of Sciences on Biodiversity, Ed. P Raven) (Washington, DC: National Academy Press, 2000); Kapitza S Nature And Human Society. The Quest For A Sustainable World (Report of US National Academy of Sciences on Biodiversity, Ed. P Raven) (Washington, DC: National Academy Press, 2000)
  17. Binde Dzh (Red.) K Obshchestvam Znaniya. Vsemirnyi Doklad YuNESKO (Parizh: YuNESKO, 2005)
  18. Fukuyama F The End Of History And The Last Man (New York: Free Press, 1992)
  19. Manelis G B
  20. Barenblatt G I Avtomodel’nye Yavleniya — Analiz Razmernostei i Skeiling (Dolgoprudnyi: Intellekt, 2009), Per. s angl.
  21. Buchanan P J The Death Of The West: How Dying Populations And Immigrant Invasious Imperie Our Country And Civilization (New York: Thomas Dunne Books/St. Martin’s Press, 2002); B’yukenen P Dzh Smert’ Zapada. Chem Vymiranie Naseleniya i Usilenie Immigratsii Ugrozhaet Nashei Strane i Tsivilizatsii (M.: AST, 2004)
  22. Eberstadt N "The demographic future. What population growth and decline means for the global economy" Foreign Affaires (2010) p. 54-64, and other papers 6, November, 1989 - December, 2010; http://www.foreignaffairs.com

© 1918–2024 Uspekhi Fizicheskikh Nauk
Email: ufn@ufn.ru Editorial office contacts About the journal Terms and conditions